FNUS28 KWNS 012127

FWDD38



Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0325 PM CST Sun Nov 01 2026



Valid 031200Z - 091200Z



...Discussion...

An amplified upper trough will translate over the Great Plains into

the Upper Midwest on Day 3/Tuesday, advecting abundant Gulf moisture

into the MS Valley. An attendant surface low will traverse the Great

Lakes region into southeastern Canada through the week, sending a

cold front across the central to eastern states through Day

5/Thursday. Along the front, widespread precipitation is expected to

bring much anticipated relief to drying fuels in the Appalachian

Mountains. A shortwave trough will trail the main trough on Day

5/Thursday, bringing additional precipitation chances to the

southern Plains. In the wake of this system, much of the Interior

West to south/central U.S. will be under northwest-westerly flow

aloft, maintaining near-average temperatures and mostly dry

conditions. Extended guidance indicates the potential for another

shortwave trough to dive into the Great Plains next weekend;

however, ambiguity in model trends yields low confidence in the

progression of the overall pattern. Nevertheless, fire weather

concerns will be reduced across almost all CONUS locations through

the forecast period.



..Elizalde-Garcia.. 11/01/2026



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...



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