FXUS62 KILM 012344 AFDILM Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 644 PM EST Sun Nov 1 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Updated aviation discussion for 00Z TAFs. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Above normal temperatures with mainly late week rain chances. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1...Above normal temperatures with mainly late week rain chances. High pressure will slowly move offshore bringing a warming trend with temperatures quite a bit above normal much of the week. Seems to be decent agreement on a more amplified weather pattern later in the week, with a few upper disturbances likely bringing increasing moisture and rain chances. However, details regarding timing and amounts of rainfall are more uncertain. At this time ensemble guidance suggests total rainfall through the weekend is most likely to be ~0.5" or less for most locales. && .AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... VFR is expected to prevail through the period, although transient MVFR cigs carry a low chance of occurrence at KILM, KCRE, and KMYR tonight into early Monday. Steady northeast winds will persist with gusty winds possible at the coastal terminals starting around midday on Monday. 18Z Mon thru Fri...Predominantly VFR. The risk for restrictions due to low clouds/showers increases on Wednesday and Thursday. && .MARINE... Through Friday...High pressure centered north of the area will slowly shift offshore ahead of a weak storm system impacting the area mid week. Strong NE winds and elevated seas to Small Craft Advisory levels will continue into tonight, with a low to moderate risk of 6+ ft seas lingering into Mon, especially for our southern SC waters. && .ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...None. SC...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM EST Monday for AMZ250-252-254- 256. && $$ WHAT HAS CHANGED...ABW KEY MESSAGES...RJB DISCUSSION...RJB AVIATION...ABW MARINE...RJB