FXUS64 KMAF 011713 AFDMAF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 1113 AM CST Sun Nov 1 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1108 AM CST Sun Nov 1 2026 - Patchy fog will develop over portions of southeast New Mexico and West Texas early this morning. - Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms may clip portions of southeast New Mexico late Sunday night. A storm or two may be strong to marginally severe, capable of producing strong and gusty winds. - Increasing southerly winds shifting to westerly Monday, with strong westerly winds (40-50 mph, gusts 65 mph) over the Guadalupes/Delawares. A High Wind Watch is in effect. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Monday afternoon) Issued at 205 AM CST Sun Nov 1 2026 Current observations show extensive low clouds across the area once again. Most visibilities are good though fog is becoming more dense in the northwestern Permian Basin and southeastern New Mexico. It is still too sparse to issue a Dense Fog Advisory but will continue to monitor. The low clouds will hang in for much if not all of the day, keeping temperatures near normal. An approaching trough will cause isolated convection to form in SE NM where one or two storms could become severe, though the severe threat will be low. Winds veer from a more westerly direction tonight ahead of the trough, pushing moisture to the east and allowing for clearing skies. Winds will increase, especially in the Guadalupe Mountains where a High Wind Watch remains in effect for Monday. Breezy to windy conditions are expected in the lower elevations and downsloping will push temps back up above normal. && .LONG TERM... (Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 205 AM CST Sun Nov 1 2026 The trough pushes east on Tuesday sending a weak cold front into the CWA. Temperatures drop back down only to near normal where they will continue through the end of the week. The upper pattern is zonal and any systems moving across the country will be weak and fast moving moving from west to east. The lack of any systems moving down out of Canada prevents any strong cold air intrusion for our forecast period. Hennig && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1108 AM CST Sun Nov 1 2026 IFR/LIFR cigs will persist into the overnight hours, mainly KCNM/KHOB/KPEQ, w/MVFR KMAF. Models are not handling this very well, and expect a lot of variability next 12 hrs or so. However, as winds veer to westerly near the end of the forecast period, expect conditions to rapidly scatter out to VFR as westerlies increase and become gusty. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 76 64 81 55 / 20 10 0 0 Carlsbad 78 61 75 52 / 0 10 0 0 Dryden 77 63 82 60 / 0 0 0 10 Fort Stockton 82 64 84 55 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 74 57 66 47 / 0 20 0 0 Hobbs 74 60 74 50 / 10 10 0 0 Marfa 76 56 76 48 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 75 64 79 54 / 10 0 0 0 Odessa 76 64 79 54 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 79 63 79 54 / 0 0 0 0 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...High Wind Warning from 8 AM CST /7 AM MST/ to 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/ Monday for Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet- Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains. NM...High Wind Warning from 7 AM to 8 PM MST Monday for Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County. && $$ SHORT TERM...94 LONG TERM....94 AVIATION...99