FXUS64 KOHX 011741 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 1141 AM CST Sun Nov 1 2026 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1131 AM CST Sun Nov 1 2026 - Look for medium to high rain chances this afternoon and into the evening. - Monday and Tuesday look to be rain-free, then another soaking rainfall will arrive during the middle of the week. - Warmest temperatures will occur on Tuesday, with a gradual cooling trend afterwards. && .SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Monday) Issued at 1131 AM CST Sun Nov 1 2026 A broad area of light to moderate rainfall continues to impact the mid state as a shortwave makes its way across the region. MRMS rainfall estimates show that a significant portion of southwest Middle Tennessee has received 1 to 3 inches of rainfall already, with lesser amounts occurring elsewhere. The heaviest precipitation will exit the mid state by nightfall, but rain chances will still linger into the evening, mainly north of I-40. High pressure will follow behind the departing shortwave tomorrow, with a couple of rain-free days to start the new week. && .LONG TERM... (Monday Night through next Sunday) Issued at 1131 AM CST Sun Nov 1 2026 A strong cold front and upper trough will begin to impact Middle Tennessee Tuesday night and especially Wednesday as another soaking rain spreads across the region. Temperatures will peak in the mid and upper 70s most areas on Tuesday, then look for readings to gradually taper off to (or slightly below) seasonal norms by the end of the week. No hazardous weather is expected anytime soon. Hopefully the much-needed rainfall this week can at a minimum put the brakes on any further worsening of the drought. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1108 AM CST Sun Nov 1 2026 A disturbance crossing the region will bring widespread light showers with MVFR cigs/vsbys early this afternoon. The showers will taper off west to east this afternoon and evening, allowing cigs/vsbys to improve to mainly VFR by tonight. Winds will be SSE 5-10 KT through the period, with some daytime gusts up to 20KT. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 63 52 73 58 / 100 30 10 0 Clarksville 62 52 73 59 / 100 30 10 0 Crossville 60 47 68 51 / 70 20 10 0 Columbia 63 52 73 58 / 100 20 10 0 Cookeville 63 52 71 57 / 80 30 10 0 Jamestown 63 50 70 54 / 70 40 10 0 Lawrenceburg 62 51 72 57 / 100 10 10 0 Murfreesboro 64 52 74 58 / 90 20 10 0 Waverly 61 53 72 61 / 100 20 10 0 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Rose LONG TERM....Rose AVIATION.....13